CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b848c21b443af16f871141d6a457336dfc8524a6b64d8626c503a8c99e299e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Astralis, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic | 47c | 55,000$25,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,149.95 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Astralis | 53c | 30,188$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.71 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…c916backed Heroic | 49c | 18,971$9,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,642.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 46c | 10,443$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.85 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 53c | 10,007$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.53 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Astralis | 53c | 9,245$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 44c | 8,261$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.7 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 7c | 7,772$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.28 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 53c | 6,006$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.63 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 16c | 5,642$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.09 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.97 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…3c8fbacked Heroic | 48c | 1,998$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…b18dbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,968$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 24c | 1,858$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.31 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed Astralis | 33c | 1,756$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 67c | 1,654$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.66 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Astralis | 54c | 1,629$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 46c | 1,530$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.09 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Astralis | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 52c | 1,489$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.35 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 76c | 1,484$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.91 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Heroic | 47c | 1,421$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.52 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Heroic | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 52c | 1,306$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.79 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Astralis | 55c | 1,176$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Astralis | 18c | 1,116$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 32.7%51 W · 105 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 43c | 1,112$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.9 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,063$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.1 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Heroic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 211 | 48.8%103 W · 108 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.53 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Astralis | 19c | 998.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 45c | 953.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.22 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Astralis | 29c | 925.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Heroic | 46c | 804.35$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.35 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…fe7ebacked Astralis | 53c | 777.13$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Heroic | 60c | 774.79$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Astralis | 37c | 714$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Astralis | 60c | 703.44$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic | 78c | 660.98$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…7c82backed Heroic | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis | 7c | 628.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Astralis | 29c | 600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 73c | 589.66$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…fbc4backed Astralis | 53c | 544.36$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis | 5c | 544$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Astralis | 10c | 510$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Heroic | 60c | 504.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Astralis | 60c | 502.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Astralis | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Astralis | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Astralis | 10c | 499.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 393 | 42.5%167 W · 226 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Heroic | 65c | 490.49$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Astralis | 65c | 450$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis | 13c | 442.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…7cb1backed Heroic | 48c | 439.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Heroic | 47c | 438.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Heroic | 46c | 434.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…12d2backed Heroic | 49c | 423.7$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Astralis | 51c | 408.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.54 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 56c | 395.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Astralis | 27c | 382.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Astralis | 52c | 362.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.62 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Heroic | 63c | 350$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…cbc8backed Astralis | 41c | 348.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic | 47c | 347.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heroic | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Heroic | 78c | 323.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed Astralis | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Heroic | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Astralis | 53c | 295.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 35c | 295.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0d…8e47backed Astralis | 32c | 289.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Heroic | 46c | 283$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Astralis | 14c | 278.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Astralis | 9c | 266$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Astralis | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Astralis | 9c | 229.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Astralis | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis | 26c | 215.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Heroic | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Heroic | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 33c | 206.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…2ddebacked Astralis | 15c | 195.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 74c | 193$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic | 78c | 191.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba39…b4b6backed Astralis | 53c | 186.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Astralis | 15c | 185.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Astralis | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 38c | 174.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…94a3backed Astralis | 54c | 174.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Astralis | 29c | 173.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Astralis | 12c | 171.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…1a3abacked Astralis | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Heroic | 47c | 166.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.