TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7097…7cb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Us Politics at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4822.9%11 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will 100 Thieves make playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FUT Esports make playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13backed FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$61.45
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NADE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs REVENIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed REVENIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Partizan Esport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13backed Partizan Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit HU vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed Spirit HU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+799.5%+$1,918.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+371.7%+$743.4
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$466.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.