CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44aa387c32c0bbf14ce105c4df2ba69299e4ba88cdcdcfb71de016c96fd16e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof JiJieHao, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed JiJieHao | 16c | 58,784$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,377.66 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed JiJieHao | 15c | 30,684$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.67 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked JiJieHao | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked JiJieHao | 6c | 8,963$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.77 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed JiJieHao | 5c | 7,504$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.21 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed JiJieHao | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed JiJieHao | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 4,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.91 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked JiJieHao | 15c | 4,446$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed JiJieHao | 16c | 4,000$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed JiJieHao | 14c | 3,984$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.81 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed JiJieHao | 15c | 3,395$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.19 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed JiJieHao | 15c | 3,349$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed JiJieHao | 14c | 2,430$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.96 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked JiJieHao | 16c | 2,165$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed JiJieHao | 14c | 1,939$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.45 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 522 | 36.8%192 W · 330 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed JiJieHao | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,476$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JiJieHao | 14c | 1,431$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed JiJieHao | 16c | 1,333$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked JiJieHao | 17c | 1,186$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed JiJieHao | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked JiJieHao | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed JiJieHao | 4c | 993.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed JiJieHao | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed JiJieHao | 9c | 920$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 825$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked JiJieHao | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed JiJieHao | 8c | 699.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…a6c2backed JiJieHao | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked JiJieHao | 9c | 494.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JiJieHao | 15c | 471$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed JiJieHao | 16c | 364$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JiJieHao | 7c | 363.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked JiJieHao | 13c | 360.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed JiJieHao | 11c | 358.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed JiJieHao | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed JiJieHao | 16c | 315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed JiJieHao | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…7cb1backed JiJieHao | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked JiJieHao | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed JiJieHao | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…44debacked JiJieHao | 16c | 280.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked JiJieHao | 13c | 271.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…f2c9backed JiJieHao | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed JiJieHao | 16c | 249.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…279fbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 225.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…4a81backed JiJieHao | 11c | 221.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked JiJieHao | 9c | 205.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked JiJieHao | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…63febacked JiJieHao | 16c | 191.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed JiJieHao | 10c | 180.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed JiJieHao | 16c | 169.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed JiJieHao | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked JiJieHao | 15c | 144.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a3…8bf9backed JiJieHao | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed JiJieHao | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed JiJieHao | 14c | 118.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed JiJieHao | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…072dbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 108.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…2b73backed JiJieHao | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed JiJieHao | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed JiJieHao | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 329 | 49.2%162 W · 167 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked JiJieHao | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed JiJieHao | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed JiJieHao | 15c | 79.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed JiJieHao | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…1bbdbacked JiJieHao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.