CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f9052054e6193611b5742222850f11c3eb1b53965dbab4d356852e9b94c3c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof JiJieHao, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 5,677$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.4 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked JiJieHao | 12c | 3,994$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked JiJieHao | 17c | 2,751$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked JiJieHao | 19c | 1,906$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed JiJieHao | 20c | 1,524$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 568 | 32.4%184 W · 384 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed JiJieHao | 17c | 1,432$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed JiJieHao | 13c | 1,409$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,126$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed JiJieHao | 18c | 1,101$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed JiJieHao | 19c | 1,091$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked JiJieHao | 18c | 911$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed JiJieHao | 18c | 861.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked JiJieHao | 24c | 829.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked JiJieHao | 17c | 810$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed JiJieHao | 19c | 764$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 632 | 34.7%219 W · 413 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed JiJieHao | 16c | 719.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked JiJieHao | 18c | 618.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 607 | 39.9%242 W · 365 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked JiJieHao | 19c | 610$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 405 | 57.3%232 W · 173 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked JiJieHao | 15c | 474.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed JiJieHao | 6c | 322.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 440 | 33.6%148 W · 292 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 281.68$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 208 | 54.3%113 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked JiJieHao | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed JiJieHao | 6c | 237.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JiJieHao | 7c | 231.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed JiJieHao | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed JiJieHao | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed JiJieHao | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 444 | 31.1%138 W · 306 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked JiJieHao | 19c | 186.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 448 | 41.1%184 W · 264 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JiJieHao | 17c | 174$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed JiJieHao | 18c | 162.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | -18.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked JiJieHao | 20c | 160.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JiJieHao | 19c | 148$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed JiJieHao | 8c | 145$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed JiJieHao | 12c | 143$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed JiJieHao | 10c | 134.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 112.52$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked JiJieHao | 19c | 111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed JiJieHao | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 122 | 18%22 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed JiJieHao | 16c | 104.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 768 | 38.3%294 W · 474 L | -33.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked JiJieHao | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed JiJieHao | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 49.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.