CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03935fbf36d3d67dcd854337d11f360c17a486f3d2552b58c7e2c52ea9235c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, JiJieHao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 8,962$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.1 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 8,493$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.23 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed JiJieHao | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.99 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed JiJieHao | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 3,500$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,318$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.39 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,060$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.07 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed JiJieHao | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked JiJieHao | 41c | 1,981$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,796$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.45 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,792$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,677$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.39 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,550$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,309$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.9 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,125$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,038$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed JiJieHao | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 883.18$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.94 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 840$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 509.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…12f5backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 498.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed JiJieHao | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 299.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 298.49$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 297.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 297.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…8bf1backed JiJieHao | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 305 | 59.3%181 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 197.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 176.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 162.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked JiJieHao | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…2b73backed JiJieHao | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 90.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed JiJieHao | 41c | 83.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 76.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…b0edbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed JiJieHao | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JiJieHao | 42c | 57.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked JiJieHao | 43c | 48.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 486 | 52.3%254 W · 232 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 47.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked JiJieHao | 43c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed JiJieHao | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked JiJieHao | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed JiJieHao | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed JiJieHao | 43c | 34.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 301 | 58.8%177 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…9c0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked JiJieHao | 44c | 34.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 30.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JiJieHao | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 17.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.