Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd279301dea54e7e19ac0142106443efe4e7d34f237560c351bc7b97c6530e7d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 47c | 15,266$7,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.92 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked No | 46c | 11,580$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 47c | 11,521$5,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.09 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 49c | 10,288$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…73dfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,098$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d95…937bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…a2debacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e37abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…b128backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 9,085$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 53c | 8,245$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.85 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 6,772$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.85 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed Yes | 51c | 5,085$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 3c | 5,065$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 47c | 4,950$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.28 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 47c | 4,177$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 54c | 3,150$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 48c | 2,425$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.84 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 2,207$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed No | 47c | 2,010$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.44 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6f58backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 53c | 1,976$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.28 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 1,757$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.74 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 53c | 1,547$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Yes | 52c | 1,361$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 46c | 1,092$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.76 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 1,080$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Yes | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 48c | 976$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…9fa4backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 48c | 940.1$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 48c | 779.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 47c | 596$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 52c | 588$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…e4bebacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…0ba2backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed No | 48c | 494$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 450.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Yes | 52c | 433$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 53c | 428.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 9c | 409.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 403.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…00cdbacked Yes | 5c | 388.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…6a24backed Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…366abacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 45c | 352$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 53c | 322.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…87f7backed Yes | 54c | 308.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 48c | 305.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…4ca0backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…b671backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…3771backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…dcefbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 46c | 261.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 52c | 251.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 236.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 55c | 235.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 51c | 235.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 48c | 232$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 53c | 230$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Yes | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 48c | 206.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 53c | 204.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…1934backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…3071backed Yes | 53c | 198.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…91aabacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c6…b741backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…457abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…e574backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…4888backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…6dbdbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Spain?this page
- France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?No won
- Spain to score first vs. France?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.