Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ebd152c5074adddcd16f054f1f9c4319d3e310bd63bf922ebd5481f1785d304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 1,977$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 19c | 1,949$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…c31fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,245$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 1,017$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 58c | 999.93$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.96 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 41c | 994$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.46 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 59c | 993.7$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 41c | 946.34$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.34 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 941.05$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 59c | 929.99$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed No | 3c | 917.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 863.52$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 41c | 859.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 58c | 799.95$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.97 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 41c | 796.53$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 41c | 713.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 706.44$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 41c | 650$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 59c | 642$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 59c | 625$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…38a4backed No | 59c | 621.63$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 31c | 535.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked No | 4c | 534.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 42c | 522.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 499.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 58c | 499.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…594fbacked Yes | 42c | 495.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 32c | 486.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked No | 59c | 425.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 424.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 416.32$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 404.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 392.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 41c | 389.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 352$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…3255backed No | 59c | 347.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 16c | 331.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…6e82backed Yes | 41c | 330.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed No | 59c | 315$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 60c | 284$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 36c | 265$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Yes | 41c | 251.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 13c | 242.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…8aa9backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 41c | 232.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 42c | 231$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…a30fbacked Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…a4bcbacked Yes | 45c | 222.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 218.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 41c | 213.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 13c | 202.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…1e87backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…26f8backed Yes | 42c | 193.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 59c | 179.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…c3e2backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 42c | 160$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 59c | 153.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed No | 47c | 151.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed Yes | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed No | 59c | 135.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 59c | 129.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 59c | 127$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0e…6a41backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…baeabacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 55c | 118.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 55c | 118.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9655…2aeebacked Yes | 42c | 117.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…f520backed Yes | 42c | 114.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 35c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…11efbacked Yes | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…0b7dbacked Yes | 42c | 94.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 90.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…9520backed Yes | 42c | 73.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Yes | 49c | 70.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…f837backed Yes | 70c | 69.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 41c | 67.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed No | 59c | 63.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…f759backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…d3d8backed Yes | 58c | 51.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 36c | 50.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. France?this page
- France to score first vs. Spain?No won
- France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.