Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ccdf83eecde11fc242903e01e9ced7a18aa80a5c913794b8eadea88c55e5354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 8c | 16,252$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.17 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 7c | 16,170$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…e6d3backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…82f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 9,990$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb1…3c7abacked Yes | 9c | 8,889$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 3,822$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 8c | 3,160$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 8c | 2,750$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 11c | 2,672$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.63 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 8c | 2,100$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 1,998$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes | 8c | 1,510$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bee…56c4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006e…7c46backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bee9backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Yes | 9c | 1,102$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 983.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 9c | 964.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 8c | 844.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…a30fbacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…baeabacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…9032backed Yes | 8c | 588$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 8c | 576.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 8c | 543$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…594fbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 8c | 498.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc892…aaf1backed Yes | 9c | 492.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 8c | 480$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c18…2b4dbacked Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 8c | 384.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 6c | 306.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 7c | 300.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Yes | 9c | 277.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…d2ddbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…f610backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…ad11backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 8c | 236.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 8c | 230$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…0040backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Yes | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…a28dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…34bfbacked Yes | 9c | 192.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 8c | 189$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…615dbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…f170backed Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…4cfbbacked Yes | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…d852backed Yes | 8c | 126.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a39…830ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…8727backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…415bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…3c6fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…1370backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…8749backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?this page
- France to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Spain to score first vs. France?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.