CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc0ded22349c9109c2ca3e81bba224e45a657558d8d56347c36a3c43dfe22bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed magic | 55c | 128,932$70,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,019.2 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed magic | 79c | 113,132$89,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,859.18 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed 3DMAX | 30c | 103,119$31,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,178.99 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked 3DMAX | 45c | 68,895$31,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,002.57 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 35,273$7,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,407.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed 3DMAX | 22c | 30,087$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.02 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 57c | 28,835$16,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked magic | 79c | 25,000$19,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed 3DMAX | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed 3DMAX | 43c | 20,072$8,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,631.16 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed 3DMAX | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 63c | 17,638$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed magic | 60c | 14,486$8,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.74 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed 3DMAX | 22c | 13,003$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed 3DMAX | 56c | 5,983$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed 3DMAX | 45c | 5,776$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed magic | 79c | 5,070$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.7 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed magic | 79c | 5,066$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.86 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 3DMAX | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed magic | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 4,289$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.42 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 3DMAX | 45c | 4,275$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.75 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed magic | 79c | 4,044$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.04 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 3DMAX | 47c | 4,003$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.04 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed magic | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed magic | 57c | 3,941$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.43 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed magic | 78c | 3,613$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.89 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked magic | 79c | 3,027$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked 3DMAX | 21c | 2,990$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed magic | 80c | 2,875$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.25 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed 3DMAX | 45c | 2,874$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.27 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX | 24c | 2,755$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.34 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 2,572$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.44 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked magic | 79c | 2,546$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.66 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked 3DMAX | 47c | 2,360$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed 3DMAX | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 2,109$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.89 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed magic | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed 3DMAX | 21c | 1,950$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed magic | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 3DMAX | 29c | 1,755$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 1,634$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.25 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 44c | 1,538$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.63 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed 3DMAX | 45c | 1,496$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked magic | 69c | 1,445$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.24 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 1,412$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.43 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked magic | 71c | 1,395$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.9 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked 3DMAX | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed magic | 63c | 1,253$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked 3DMAX | 22c | 1,164$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 33c | 1,130$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed 3DMAX | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked 3DMAX | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX | 23c | 1,108$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…12f5backed 3DMAX | 43c | 1,093$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed magic | 57c | 1,071$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.41 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed magic | 79c | 1,053$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed 3DMAX | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked 3DMAX | 51c | 971.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8c…9a80backed 3DMAX | 21c | 961$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed 3DMAX | 21c | 938.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed 3DMAX | 45c | 904.16$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 898$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic | 63c | 884.55$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf127…265bbacked 3DMAX | 21c | 875$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed magic | 69c | 847.01$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 54c | 839.39$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…e130backed 3DMAX | 35c | 837.68$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked 3DMAX | 34c | 833.81$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 3DMAX | 24c | 822.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed magic | 57c | 819.75$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.32 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed magic | 80c | 816$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked magic | 55c | 806.46$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.46 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed magic | 79c | 801.81$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed magic | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked magic | 56c | 799.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked magic | 80c | 794$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed 3DMAX | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed 3DMAX | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed 3DMAX | 45c | 721$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed magic | 58c | 685.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…138abacked 3DMAX | 29c | 676.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed magic | 56c | 626.02$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed magic | 57c | 614.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked magic | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed 3DMAX | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked magic | 55c | 599.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed 3DMAX | 34c | 588.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed 3DMAX | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 3DMAX | 55c | 540$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed 3DMAX | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked 3DMAX | 18c | 495.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed 3DMAX | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked magic | 56c | 458.02$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed 3DMAX | 43c | 453.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 3DMAX | 22c | 453.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.