CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa343e97197214d21df5daf7c1114dc91d0a42504636ed6e035a985066e32a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic | 49c | 31,933$15,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,286.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed 3DMAX | 51c | 20,051$10,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,326 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked magic | 48c | 17,700$8,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked 3DMAX | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed magic | 49c | 7,388$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.75 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 6,459$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked 3DMAX | 51c | 4,300$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 3DMAX | 9c | 3,828$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed 3DMAX | 51c | 3,818$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed 3DMAX | 52c | 3,000$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 2,881$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 50c | 2,215$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 50c | 2,160$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.1 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…0d68backed 3DMAX | 57c | 1,822$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed 3DMAX | 49c | 1,798$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.01 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8897backed magic | 42c | 1,237$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed 3DMAX | 51c | 1,192$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed magic | 48c | 1,183$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX | 10c | 1,109$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked 3DMAX | 23c | 1,039$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed 3DMAX | 45c | 999.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 3DMAX | 49c | 996.12$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked 3DMAX | 51c | 616.66$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX | 19c | 601$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…a94cbacked magic | 40c | 542.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed magic | 60c | 528.12$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…47e6backed 3DMAX | 4c | 448.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked 3DMAX | 51c | 441.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed magic | 72c | 403.18$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed 3DMAX | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 3DMAX | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 379.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 3DMAX | 57c | 351.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 340.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked magic | 58c | 302$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed 3DMAX | 41c | 290.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed magic | 44c | 268.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked 3DMAX | 79c | 254.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed magic | 50c | 217.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked magic | 48c | 217$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…138abacked 3DMAX | 56c | 210.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 3DMAX | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked 3DMAX | 56c | 200.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…5421backed 3DMAX | 10c | 193.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 179$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed magic | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked magic | 40c | 155$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed 3DMAX | 51c | 153.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked magic | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed magic | 49c | 144.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 3DMAX | 12c | 135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed 3DMAX | 26c | 131.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 3DMAX | 50c | 128.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed magic | 50c | 125.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…67f1backed 3DMAX | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…8700backed magic | 42c | 118.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked magic | 48c | 117.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed magic | 68c | 105.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked 3DMAX | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed 3DMAX | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed 3DMAX | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked magic | 49c | 99.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 97.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 3DMAX | 40c | 90.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed magic | 45c | 90.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX | 12c | 89.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked magic | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 366 | 39.9%146 W · 220 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed magic | 39c | 80.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 77.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 76.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 3DMAX | 27c | 75.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed magic | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX | 18c | 72.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed 3DMAX | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed magic | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed magic | 49c | 55.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed magic | 34c | 54.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed magic | 49c | 52.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed 3DMAX | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed 3DMAX | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 3DMAX | 30c | 48.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked magic | 45c | 42.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed 3DMAX | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…fb58backed magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…fb93backed magic | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 39.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked magic | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…bd35backed magic | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed magic | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked magic | 74c | 36.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…6648backed 3DMAX | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.