CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x440d21dd2e9f97d40db53669241db3ff510f3bd462935c07b28b0ae363f34125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 3DMAX | 72c | 2,369$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.69 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed magic | 27c | 1,289$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.89 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked magic | 28c | 836.92$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked 3DMAX | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked magic | 29c | 720$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 3DMAX | 68c | 698.77$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 3DMAX | 72c | 594.38$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 31c | 328$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 280.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed magic | 29c | 216$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf086…3ed7backed 3DMAX | 40c | 196.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed 3DMAX | 70c | 82.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked magic | 31c | 59.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed magic | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed magic | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 3DMAX | 68c | 36.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed 3DMAX | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked magic | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed 3DMAX | 70c | 27.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 27.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed magic | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed 3DMAX | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.