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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$515,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed MIBR20c80,712$16,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,525.751,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Legacy64c67,872$43,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,587.5414047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed MIBR38c50,342$19,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,129.9912950.4%65 W · 64 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked Legacy63c48,531$30,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,893.72060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy79c30,000$23,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9925855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed MIBR38c22,222$8,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,444.366152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed MIBR39c17,415$6,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,801.673540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIBR39c17,195$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,705.961,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked MIBR18c15,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70023846.2%110 W · 128 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked MIBR41c11,928$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,839.522626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Legacy60c10,354$6,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.5277052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Legacy61c9,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5109565.3%62 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed MIBR41c7,384$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00019554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MIBR39c6,761$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.9746349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Legacy53c5,048$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.5617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Legacy59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed MIBR35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75036845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed MIBR39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR21c4,965$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.642,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed MIBR19c4,964$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.232810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR17c4,792$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.621,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Legacy62c4,746$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.532348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR40c4,610$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.045,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed Legacy61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5609749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MIBR35c4,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41064748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR21c3,981$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.011,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Legacy60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Legacy63c3,215$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.5215251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MIBR38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14042341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR21c3,000$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8289546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Legacy60c2,932$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.651,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR40c2,736$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.242,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Legacy75c2,580$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.343948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR34c2,504$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.3687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR34c2,502$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.681,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked MIBR40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00094945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed MIBR40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af1…8bd4backed Legacy62c2,480$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.45143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed MIBR38c2,475$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.2840341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MIBR18c2,293$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41755343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MIBR38c2,129$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80827452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked MIBR40c2,115$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.55927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed MIBR28c2,051$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.17953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy62c2,038$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.941,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Legacy63c2,013$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.7524339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Legacy60c2,000$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79517445.4%79 W · 95 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4264…1169backed Legacy69c1,980$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.881346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Legacy56c1,715$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.541,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Legacy61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3416362%101 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR37c1,619$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.32,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed MIBR27c1,600$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.611643.1%50 W · 66 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR30c1,557$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.845,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR25c1,500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Legacy60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60030153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MIBR19c1,488$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2372645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Legacy69c1,441$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8881744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MIBR21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Legacy64c1,408$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.3111540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR32c1,378$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.832,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR37c1,353$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.091,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed MIBR15c1,333$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2855232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Legacy63c1,303$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.113953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Legacy61c1,296$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5836240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy67c1,247$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.552,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR21c1,232$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.721,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49d…5fc7backed MIBR40c1,232$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR37c1,111$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.071,14649.4%566 W · 580 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR38c1,108$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.343,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9765351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…9a05backed MIBR38c1,050$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked MIBR18c1,033$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.025139.2%20 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed MIBR21c1,033$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.541,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Legacy61c1,033$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7949251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cd…3897backed MIBR40c1,027$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed MIBR39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908946.1%41 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed Legacy61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3908442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf796…de54backed MIBR37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Legacy62c983$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5749952.3%261 W · 238 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked MIBR37c928.73$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.026550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Legacy67c927.48$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0726461%161 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc236…e3d3backed MIBR42c908.98$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.613554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Legacy61c900$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35169253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Legacy67c891.02$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29821148.8%103 W · 108 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed MIBR18c847.48$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR21c829.81$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.572,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed MIBR18c818.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR40c812.5$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32552936.3%192 W · 337 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MIBR30c800$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23957740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Legacy60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32025345.8%116 W · 137 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Legacy60c786.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.85666.1%37 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked MIBR37c756.39$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8622641.2%93 W · 133 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Legacy60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Legacy61c718.34$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1561654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…32c8backed MIBR20c714.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-64.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Legacy61c665$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3524349%119 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Legacy77c660.74$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.174,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR20c659.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.292,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked Legacy78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.035971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed MIBR39c622.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.21,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Legacy59c614.91$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1159841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.