CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd8c3d94d65254a6a74105248dee88b1b0e6b1e9f30bffed4bfe742f335dbe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed MIBR | 65c | 3,410$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 35c | 1,973$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.93 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Legacy | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Legacy | 49c | 780.94$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIBR | 66c | 455.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Legacy | 33c | 450.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed MIBR | 48c | 431.53$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MIBR | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Legacy | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked MIBR | 63c | 319.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed MIBR | 70c | 286.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Legacy | 35c | 284.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 30c | 236.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Legacy | 41c | 197.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…1640backed MIBR | 67c | 192.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Legacy | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Legacy | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR | 69c | 156.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked Legacy | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MIBR | 65c | 109.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Legacy | 34c | 100.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Legacy | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed MIBR | 47c | 78.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Legacy | 29c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked Legacy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Legacy | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy | 32c | 49.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed MIBR | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed MIBR | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 64c | 42.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Legacy | 47c | 42.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked MIBR | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Legacy | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Legacy | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR | 71c | 31.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked MIBR | 68c | 28.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked MIBR | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.