CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e752473bc0bf2499d27e13a092a7b048932576200ab0937346e47ba90ce92e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 10,000$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.49 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Under | 50c | 3,552$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,353$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.41 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 51c | 1,733$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 1,319$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.82 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Under | 54c | 1,076$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.93 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 49c | 739.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.31 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 48c | 312.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 53c | 286.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 63c | 277.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…00d4backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 254.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…46a7backed Over | 48c | 229.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 47c | 216$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4474…a528backed Over | 49c | 197.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 193.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 29c | 192.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 191.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 182.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…dd5bbacked Over | 49c | 177.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…87e4backed Over | 48c | 175.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…b38fbacked Over | 49c | 160.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 35c | 158.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 66c | 156.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Under | 54c | 152.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 141.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…8ea1backed Over | 49c | 140.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…d844backed Over | 49c | 137.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1d48backed Over | 48c | 122.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…491bbacked Over | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 37c | 105.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c84…8585backed Over | 49c | 100.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 95.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…cbffbacked Over | 48c | 90.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 88.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…a8cdbacked Over | 49c | 86.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed Under | 55c | 81.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 52c | 81.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…2a78backed Over | 49c | 75.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…688cbacked Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…ea5cbacked Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 50c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 50c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 48c | 56.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…b1f2backed Under | 55c | 53.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 34c | 48.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 66c | 45.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…8f1fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aeb…22fbbacked Over | 49c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 47c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked Under | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 338 | 69.8%236 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.