TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof Sashi Esport, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sashi Esport47c26,096$12,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,386.8575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed FOKUS52c24,000$12,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,519.9822943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Sashi Esport48c8,161$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.351,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Sashi Esport48c4,150$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.9121953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS54c4,027$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.675,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Sashi Esport40c2,800$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12039245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Sashi Esport47c2,620$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.457641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS49c2,111$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.772,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FOKUS50c1,935$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.622,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sashi Esport11c1,722$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS52c1,539$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.742,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Sashi Esport48c1,521$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.0617954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FOKUS54c1,481$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.391,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FOKUS52c1,471$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8859755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FOKUS51c1,346$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.3420354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Sashi Esport48c1,147$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.041,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS52c1,061$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Sashi Esport20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked FOKUS52c988.86$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.656237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cab…2189backed FOKUS52c960$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked FOKUS55c939.98$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.695425.9%14 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa102…6b5bbacked FOKUS53c825.26$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed FOKUS52c784.16$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.446555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Sashi Esport47c610.98$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS50c575.5$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.751,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…9f3bbacked FOKUS52c520$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Sashi Esport48c516.67$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24812727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Sashi Esport21c510.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6341938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed FOKUS53c508.82$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5237848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sashi Esport49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS50c469.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.632,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Sashi Esport51c420$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.748851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Sashi Esport53c377.07$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0912937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Sashi Esport48c350.43$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4642255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Sashi Esport47c329.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.691,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Sashi Esport44c264.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FOKUS53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2845244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Sashi Esport47c230.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.126747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed FOKUS53c228.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.37546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS52c226.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9253034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Sashi Esport47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS67c211.06$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.353,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed FOKUS51c210.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4488330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS56c201$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.583,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FOKUS67c193.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3475833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked Sashi Esport50c191.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7417055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed FOKUS53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6831761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Sashi Esport39c180$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Sashi Esport47c178$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6611844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sashi Esport51c171$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.322,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed FOKUS75c166$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.448163%51 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Sashi Esport48c163.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3526346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FOKUS59c162.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4951755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7774…5bfbbacked Sashi Esport48c154.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Sashi Esport48c153$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4425634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Sashi Esport47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.59837.8%37 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Sashi Esport48c144.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9813358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Sashi Esport48c143.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1161054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed FOKUS52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.27163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed FOKUS54c139.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0983856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Sashi Esport48c132.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9627647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7097…7cb1backed FOKUS52c128.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.454822.9%11 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Sashi Esport48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed FOKUS52c120.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.810356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS62c118.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.872,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Sashi Esport47c115.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3920957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Sashi Esport28c113.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9221653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS45c109.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.393,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked FOKUS56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1419147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked Sashi Esport44c107.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.143461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed Sashi Esport48c100.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7411348.7%55 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Sashi Esport49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Sashi Esport49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed FOKUS52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed FOKUS53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x503d…04a5backed FOKUS52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1525751.4%132 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed FOKUS52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed FOKUS52c93.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9558745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Sashi Esport40c85.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6416641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Sashi Esport48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Sashi Esport48c76.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2922455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS77c76.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.362,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Sashi Esport48c76.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.831250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2642…deddbacked FOKUS80c75.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.15545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Sashi Esport57c60.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sashi Esport18c58.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed FOKUS52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6937752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf12…7e2cbacked Sashi Esport48c57.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed FOKUS54c57.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4613545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sashi Esport53c56.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked FOKUS53c56.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.587857.7%45 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.245,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS42c51.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked Sashi Esport49c51.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257750.6%39 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Sashi Esport40c49.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6615337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a75…1ff4backed Sashi Esport45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67c9…1ef1backed Sashi Esport49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda1c…d7dabacked Sashi Esport48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Sashi Esport49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2119051.1%97 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed Sashi Esport47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.