CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9fb2d4b1fae07a3168c61d9dbfa3ab23a186ac18b5f37c12c178336cce13f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Sashi Esport, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Sashi Esport | 3c | 26,442$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.91 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Sashi Esport | 40c | 1,756$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.28 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 69c | 806.52$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS | 72c | 600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 552.4$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.08 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Sashi Esport | 6c | 511.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Sashi Esport | 4c | 511.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sashi Esport | 9c | 449.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked FOKUS | 46c | 447$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.38 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 429.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 46c | 415$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 364.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed FOKUS | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Sashi Esport | 50c | 188.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed FOKUS | 50c | 168.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed FOKUS | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sashi Esport | 16c | 107.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Sashi Esport | 19c | 83.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sashi Esport | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked FOKUS | 36c | 70.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 366 | 39.9%146 W · 220 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS | 50c | 64.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked FOKUS | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed FOKUS | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 29.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sashi Esport | 63c | 27.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…30a9backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 25.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked FOKUS | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sashi Esport | 70c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 13FOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.