TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f03…2dde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Dbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked FURIA fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+351.9%+$288.13
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$202.78
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.17
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.63
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.33
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.75
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.