CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e9b97d7cfb624d6fed745c7fadd1f69d2cf9ab769207c1124b906da03ecd77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 75c | 2,052$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.05 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed Omega | 2c | 1,605$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Omega | 36c | 1,405$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.66 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega | 14c | 1,135$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed ASTRAL | 75c | 1,110$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Omega | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Omega | 26c | 872.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 79c | 838.43$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed ASTRAL | 65c | 813.1$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Omega | 24c | 686.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Omega | 24c | 656.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 75c | 580.94$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked ASTRAL | 64c | 547.66$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Omega | 35c | 501.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed ASTRAL | 76c | 423.81$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ASTRAL | 65c | 391.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 390 | 40.8%159 W · 231 L | +30.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Omega | 4c | 365.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ASTRAL | 73c | 303.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Omega | 17c | 280.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Omega | 17c | 280.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Omega | 16c | 258.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Omega | 15c | 231.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 198.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed ASTRAL | 66c | 144.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Omega | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Omega | 37c | 99.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked ASTRAL | 73c | 99.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Omega | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Omega | 35c | 91.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Omega | 33c | 85.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ASTRAL | 78c | 76.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked ASTRAL | 65c | 74.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Omega | 28c | 59.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 18c | 59.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Omega | 26c | 54.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…2ddebacked Omega | 19c | 54.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Omega | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ASTRAL | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ASTRAL | 61c | 35.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL | 72c | 31.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ASTRAL | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked ASTRAL | 69c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ASTRAL | 64c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ASTRAL | 77c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ASTRAL | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed ASTRAL | 73c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed ASTRAL | 78c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 548 | 50%274 W · 274 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ASTRAL | 65c | 18.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed ASTRAL | 68c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ASTRAL | 69c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked ASTRAL | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.