CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64419c20a5851f4c6f764ab303803783b00dcdfdc0b2ecc5995f09c082dea94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ASTRAL | 74c | 1,058$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASTRAL | 72c | 865$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 18c | 808.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Omega | 28c | 750.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 21c | 631.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ASTRAL | 76c | 611.8$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Omega | 23c | 584.43$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 69c | 390.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Omega | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Omega | 31c | 156.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ASTRAL | 75c | 146.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Omega | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Omega | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ASTRAL | 71c | 96.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Omega | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Omega | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ASTRAL | 77c | 67.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 69c | 60.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked ASTRAL | 76c | 44.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ASTRAL | 73c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ASTRAL | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ASTRAL | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.