Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9687a7d94cbbccb85fd1eb89e20aafa30d698213c82f4f74a25b4d00c8116da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 109,033$68,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,051.62 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 92,873$58,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,059.91 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.97 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 34,489$12,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,121.98 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 25,348$9,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.09 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 36c | 20,970$7,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,637.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 20,365$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,723.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 61c | 19,913$12,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.66 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 16,945$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.02 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 15,894$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.99 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 40c | 15,522$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 15,068$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 39c | 11,282$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed No | 36c | 10,377$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 37c | 6,401$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 6,145$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 6,140$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.15 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 37c | 6,086$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 60c | 6,013$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.24 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 38c | 5,438$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.98 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked No | 33c | 4,579$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 47c | 3,569$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 36c | 3,350$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 60c | 3,340$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 3c | 3,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…0f83backed No | 35c | 3,289$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 39c | 2,817$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.37 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 58c | 2,566$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.29 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…8ef8backed Yes | 61c | 2,478$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 2,430$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 37c | 2,333$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.91 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 62c | 2,087$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 1,941$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 61c | 1,929$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…d3b7backed Yes | 63c | 1,847$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 26c | 1,607$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,572$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed No | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 56c | 1,327$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 37c | 1,310$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.68 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 61c | 1,307$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 56c | 1,250$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.61 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 37c | 1,225$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.82 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Yes | 75c | 1,204$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,177$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 39c | 1,161$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.16 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 64c | 1,101$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 63c | 1,096$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.39 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 51c | 981.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.16 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 32c | 974.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.27 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 61c | 948.92$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.41 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 41c | 916.16$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.82 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 23c | 849.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 56c | 832$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Yes | 62c | 807.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 41c | 798.14$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.73 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Yes | 56c | 652.3$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 35c | 619.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.79 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 42c | 608.83$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 11c | 601.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 39c | 595.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 565.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 59c | 562.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 63c | 547.33$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.74 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 40c | 542.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 39c | 515.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 30c | 511.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 59c | 508.68$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 39c | 505.15$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 54c | 502.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Yes | 62c | 485.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 63c | 482.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 63c | 476.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 42c | 463.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 40c | 446.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 63c | 433.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 38c | 429.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 427.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 40c | 406.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 38c | 406$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Yes | 63c | 396.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…2d85backed Yes | 62c | 379.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed No | 35c | 369.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 73c | 330$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 35c | 329.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 60c | 319.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will United States vs. Portugal end in a draw?No won
- Will United States win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.