TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will United States vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c4,640$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c2,860$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.6635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes21c1,623$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.257924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes23c1,526$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c1,471$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c1,415$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2417338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c1,387$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0746536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes21c1,310$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.187762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c1,188$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,055$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c1,000$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1822656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c845.79$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c812.55$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.611,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes21c809.84$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5817148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Yes22c723.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.175345.3%24 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes9c692.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes10c554.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes21c512.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7928545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes22c412.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.862,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes26c384.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick72cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes27c370.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac95…5f12backed No78c265.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes20c244.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Yes21c239$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c232.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.516833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No77c209.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.093959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824025%10 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c184.8$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.663,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c177.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7816116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c173.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c158.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.342,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed No80c137.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c130.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No79c129.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes16c122.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No78c121.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2717158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No78c120.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9710958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c115.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c105.89$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Yes22c104$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.383930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No80c102$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44678.3%36 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes21c96.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.193330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204022.5%9 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No74c94.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes21c93.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes22c93.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166314.3%9 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No77c89.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6515445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No73c87.77$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbed…6221backed Yes24c83.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes23c82.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No78c79.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.567034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c77.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes21c76.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No79c72.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda01…e2fabacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+106.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec14…ed5abacked Yes26c46.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…11bdbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-52.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No77c35.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0914948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed No77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.479351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed No77c32.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4617553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c31.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9128754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c30.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.492,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No80c30.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611061.8%68 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No80c29.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9725554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked No73c29.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No80c29.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.937266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No80c29.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9321953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…68f5backed No80c27.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc931…7d46backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No76c17.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1910954.1%59 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No77c14.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No79c13.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.928659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.