TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed No38c15,773$5,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,779.321450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c8,628$5,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,358.77924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.917038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c7,971$3,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,973.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c7,103$4,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,437.4417338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No37c6,327$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,978.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c5,842$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.5735942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes58c4,270$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.2976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c3,140$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No22c2,331$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.6212266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No23c2,236$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.2611167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No37c2,000$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.327859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No22c1,956$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.1810273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes61c1,886$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.1410234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3c…e646backed Yes64c1,560$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce7…e812backed No36c1,560$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes52c1,553$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81329463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No39c1,475$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.728357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No36c1,393$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.394955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes62c887.06$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9840343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes63c788.89$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No42c714.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7113461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c690.09$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.872,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb73e…7204backed Yes63c640.88$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes50c600$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed No42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.241070%7 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick37cpaid+82.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31523540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes62c499.95$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9716647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed Yes61c499.91$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.941637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf52…555ebacked Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf6…e1e9backed Yes63c475.39$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ad…2b10backed Yes17c469.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes64c469.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes61c462.67$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.233432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf00…373cbacked Yes63c413.58$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-75.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c400.73$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6545947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c395.4$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c390.88$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.782,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes78c358$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2416833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No80c347.82$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012060.8%73 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No80c317.15$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8521953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae4…9601backed Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed No37c300.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5123736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No21c285.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.711,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No72c275.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0410958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…7f00backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes25c268.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679846.9%46 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6977…e8d1backed Yes34c259.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes64c254.63$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.965450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c245.59$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked No42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes62c210.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.353330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c210.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5616116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No40c205.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1311060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x603a…b53abacked Yes64c203.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No38c200.79$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6124653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010245.1%46 W · 56 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Yes62c199.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.993231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No38c197.87$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8117158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c195.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.481,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No36c194.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9524028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c193$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5910335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510a…6cacbacked Yes21c190.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed No40c184.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.586350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No35c177.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3246536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c172.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes62c161.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016453%87 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes44c160.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes63c159.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa892…5076backed Yes63c159$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes63c158.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa90b…3b03backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1dd…c4c9backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes44c158.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.452,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes61c156.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9350450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No39c149.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No30c149.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1923345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes26c147$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.92729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No79c139$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.776835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed No37c135$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254080%32 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No39c116$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7610558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes60c115.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Yes62c105.48$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c103.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.918040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.