Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523eb6c9b6e0039a5c656d21f93f22a9ef00b70932584cc80b5073ee54149df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 19,386$11,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,654.72 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 7,188$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.17 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…3fa9backed No | 6c | 5,415$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 3,849$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.45 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 3,746$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,470$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.71 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 1,006$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 22c | 893.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.96 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 55c | 841.19$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 60c | 783.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 768.22$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 700.52$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.34 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 350$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 321.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 46c | 320.72$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 24c | 315$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 24c | 288.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 288.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 261.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 256.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 214.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 79c | 201.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 201.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 182$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 47c | 176.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 171.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 159.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 132.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 44c | 126$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…a4b1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 121.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Yes | 23c | 121.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 116.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 63c | 110.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 108.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 51c | 105.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b53abacked Yes | 80c | 103.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 99.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 90.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 17c | 83.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…bc1cbacked Yes | 76c | 76.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…99f9backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 17c | 71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 66.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 64.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed No | 24c | 52.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 30c | 52.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…b71dbacked Yes | 75c | 42.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…7505backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 36.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…a0f7backed Yes | 56c | 34.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 76c | 27.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 77c | 24.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Yes | 66c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 16.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 76c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 76c | 15.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands vs. Ecuador end in a draw?this page
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.