Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11a5102c2eaa03a19c7b4881fa1ada66f191dfba9db22aa4fa9a36ca2f5beb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 37c | 25,100$9,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,191.47 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 51c | 21,012$10,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,621.35 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 64c | 12,714$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.07 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 63c | 10,864$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 10,604$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.45 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 64c | 7,688$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.58 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 64c | 6,214$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.65 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 6,162$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.81 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 3,609$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.52 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 3,460$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…00e1backed Under | 72c | 2,725$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 38c | 2,554$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed Under | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 1,902$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.18 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 53c | 1,814$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.56 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 1,534$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.48 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 64c | 1,530$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.28 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 59c | 1,509$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 42c | 1,397$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 26c | 1,378$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.62 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 1,352$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.62 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…c25ebacked Under | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 63c | 1,233$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 1,168$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.65 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 3c | 1,119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.27 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 53c | 1,013$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 37c | 999.84$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Under | 29c | 993.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 931.94$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 46c | 874.64$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.52 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 49c | 870.48$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Under | 35c | 699.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 38c | 685.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 663.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 61c | 660.79$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Over | 64c | 650$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 632.58$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 36c | 599.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 65c | 513.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 28c | 511.68$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 511.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 50c | 511.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 508.56$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…ff71backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 52c | 470.98$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 464.74$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 57c | 462.48$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 49c | 456.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 42c | 436.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 37c | 435.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 64c | 404.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Under | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 61c | 378.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 76c | 350.25$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 52c | 347.13$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 339.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Under | 67c | 317.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 62c | 315.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 41c | 293.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 33c | 291.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 274.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 36c | 272.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…df67backed Over | 52c | 269.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 63c | 266.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 67c | 257.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 249.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 64c | 248.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 64c | 244.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 63c | 242.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over | 73c | 229.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 229.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Under | 43c | 226.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 218.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 71c | 211.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +266.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 204.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…4602backed Over | 57c | 204.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 23c | 197.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 49c | 197.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 63c | 190.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 33c | 188.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.