TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb8e0…20e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT6423.4%15 W · 49 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.67
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$182.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.49
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$119.3
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.62
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.45
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.81
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.87
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.49
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$136.88
Brentford FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.02
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$969.75
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,044.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$657.6
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12.8
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$130.1
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+669.2%+$156.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,832Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+114%+$4,368.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.