TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,757 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Over55c112,931$62,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,349.76857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under46c89,945$41,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,573.793661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Under47c80,891$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under44c21,549$9,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,525.828146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c13,680$6,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,495.56,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under35c13,083$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.0320545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c8,317$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.982774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c7,884$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.0550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c7,365$3,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.8351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under47c6,416$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c6,409$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.7712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under45c4,490$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over52c4,400$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.963630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under1c3,917$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under46c3,844$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.989350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c3,759$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.392,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c3,380$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.0474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over46c3,239$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.134341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,069$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.311,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over45c2,508$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.394158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under47c2,301$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.2315534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under46c2,005$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.242245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over52c1,881$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb1…0d66backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c1,749$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over53c1,664$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.985100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under46c1,633$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75115757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under48c1,484$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c1,296$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.2472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…bbf0backed Under19c1,170$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,065$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over46c950$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under44c930.14$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.267844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over69c883.85$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c871.92$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under46c860$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c818.24$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c817.31$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under47c815.28$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.525444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c811.13$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.949254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over60c744.75$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7511969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over54c740$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.413132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c732.05$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.21,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c634.89$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under46c612.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.985058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Under49c612$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.883339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over52c567$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.168643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over56c555$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.26346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under39c529.39$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over57c523.65$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.174470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686d…9eb4backed Over68c507.35$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c504.08$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.230057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under43c461$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over64c453.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.861952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over51c441.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5711449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c436.16$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.361,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over51c431.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3719244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…cbdbbacked Under51c397.24$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3628654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c357.81$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9718851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5a…2a37backed Over57c357.68$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over57c350.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Over66c349.74$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.835940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over54c340$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9324146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over56c339.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.657245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under49c310.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over39c307.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.11650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under43c294.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693070%21 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over53c269.76$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7919356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under44c267.25$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11546660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.511828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecd2…38d1backed Over56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over53c216.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.983956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked Over52c212.8$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under35c211$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3111753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c208.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2710949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Over53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Over49c202.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.192944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b1…69d2backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over65c195.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.477851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.