TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,930 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under63c36,023$22,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,378.4516040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c23,522$7,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0654,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under65c15,143$9,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.3215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over57c7,179$4,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.589746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5b…8e29backed Over64c6,831$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,347.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c5,100$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.936,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…429cbacked Over52c3,506$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over54c3,496$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.122050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over36c3,285$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.8451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over37c3,090$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.313444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over31c2,900$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8995527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over35c2,873$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c2,700$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05313837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c2,617$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under50c2,399$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1402277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,896$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over38c1,700$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under63c1,635$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.929749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over66c1,511$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under77c1,465$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.691353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over36c1,405$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2817327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under55c1,298$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over40c1,265$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over57c1,231$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over46c1,220$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over37c1,114$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6630143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over38c1,082$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over39c1,076$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.283938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over61c1,065$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over37c1,000$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.341,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over5c1,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.984637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under67c999.53$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.847357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8b…fdb0backed Over69c910.41$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1880%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c858.93$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.476445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c851.56$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over71c802.63$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.636953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over36c653.08$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.118236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under54c651.11$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.514751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over32c594.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under64c589.97$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.595135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Over49c580$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.22825%7 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over70c544.29$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c539.19$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24530645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over37c520.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.551,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under61c499.94$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9713054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under62c456.18$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under32c453.13$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.134932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under62c451.12$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over51c431.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over52c423.16$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c412$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over58c410.34$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2384341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under49c407.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Over69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over35c394.14$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Under40c378.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.576238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over32c372.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.456160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under69c333$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.234860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…ae92backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over73c305.42$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.964261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b1…69d2backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Over33c299.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over22c285.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Under48c284.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c278$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…d730backed Over72c245.83$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under62c243.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.23948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x103c…232bbacked Over71c241.04$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over50c235$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.517337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c233.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…c70bbacked Over39c232.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over39c227.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.722759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over54c226.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under67c223.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.975851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Over67c220.57$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x763a…49a9backed Over38c216.72$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over42c212.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over42c205.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.193727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c203.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8540821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over37c202.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Under36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.