Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86819c0bcffcc1c004ed8436e2eda21997b63ae25804b41fb0443632635cfe88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 18c | 20,840$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.22 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Under | 0c | 10,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 8,188$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 18c | 1,450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 18c | 1,217$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 19c | 636.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…211abacked Under | 19c | 615.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…429cbacked Over | 78c | 534.24$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 7c | 191.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 20c | 123.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 80c | 93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 17c | 91.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 79c | 90.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 17c | 73.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 80c | 34.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 80c | 30.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.