TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,597 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x479e…91c3backed Under74c5,999$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.746066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c5,174$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.854,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c2,206$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.886,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over20c1,500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.953938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over18c1,481$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5739948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over19c1,250$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.917327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Under80c1,094$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.71457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over18c1,054$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8c…23c3backed Over22c725.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ac…ef3bbacked Under78c725.35$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over18c632.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.291,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over11c590$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.95135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over20c585.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.324731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under74c475.06$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.771560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over32c425.91$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.2927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under74c405.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4910850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c373.77$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9928633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x686d…9eb4backed Under77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.681127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.518953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under70c242.06$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over20c232.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under74c225.68$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over16c225.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba10…383fbacked Under78c217.62$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under79c157.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1131747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under73c150.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over20c149.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.992548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Under68c147.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.035100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2813461.2%82 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under63c140$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over20c139.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9930645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under73c137.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.535056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c134.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.440721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under73c123.91$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9124062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under72c111.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.116266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2321…6a04backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over24c95.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over15c91.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7451847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over28c89.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.935052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under72c89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8341160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under80c87.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.545651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over16c77.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over19c74.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.094845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over21c73.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4819356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6402…c755backed Under67c73.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under79c71.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c69.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0741243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over32c69.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Over29c68.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over20c65.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9414055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under61c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over24c55.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c50.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7974056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.726028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over27c46.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4560%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over32c45.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under67c39.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2119441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over41c33.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.797851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over37c32.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8916236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Under68c29.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.563357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.554744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over42c27.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa029…f04abacked Under65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a40…281ebacked Under77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3425…c806backed Under67c17.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.