Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c765c6c4e2e97a200103a93d7e76decd4af8cf2a95c8ca917bd09c321c387bd

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Liverpool FC, Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Liverpool FC	25c	20,152$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	19,629$15,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,224.44	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Liverpool FC	24c	17,633$4,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,159.36	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	13,402$10,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.65	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	9,595$7,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.1	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Liverpool FC	24c	6,180$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	4,702$3,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.45	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	4,000$3,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Liverpool FC	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	23cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Liverpool FC	23c	2,018$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.54	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Liverpool FC	22c	1,995$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.56	173	27.2%47 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	1,426$1,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.72	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Liverpool FC	20c	1,268$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Liverpool FC	14c	1,081$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Liverpool FC	23c	1,073$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.32	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	999.98$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Liverpool FC	11c	884.75$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.22	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Liverpool FC	24c	843.51$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.31	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc47…a4efbacked Liverpool FC	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	75c	551.6$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.9	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Liverpool FC	22c	448.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Liverpool FC	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Liverpool FC	23c	430$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	430$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	410.93$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.93	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…1d66backed Liverpool FC	25c	282.27$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	79c	268.92$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.76	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC	21c	265.31$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.26	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	216.77$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.69	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5056…0657backed Liverpool FC	24c	210.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Liverpool FC	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	288	24.7%71 W · 217 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd1…cfb5backed Liverpool FC	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Liverpool FC	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	191	28.8%55 W · 136 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liverpool FC	19c	197.53$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.43	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Liverpool FC	23c	195.86$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.94	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f74…97b6backed Liverpool FC	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Liverpool FC	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Liverpool FC	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	162.34$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.34	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	155.91$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.3	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	140$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Liverpool FC	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-5.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Liverpool FC	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	120.65$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	71cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC	20c	111.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Liverpool FC	24c	102.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Liverpool FC	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Liverpool FC	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Liverpool FC	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Liverpool FC	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Liverpool FC	22c	90.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	79c	88.48$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Liverpool FC	25c	88.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	112	29.5%33 W · 79 L	-9.8wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Liverpool FC	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Liverpool FC	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Liverpool FC	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Liverpool FC	22c	78$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Liverpool FC	23c	70.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Liverpool FC	24c	70.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Liverpool FC	24c	70.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	79c	57.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.06	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe121…2be5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	54.6$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4313…306abacked Liverpool FC	24c	41.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	32.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12bf…314ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	79c	30.06$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…980cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	28.85$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.72	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	25.6$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.89	365	54.5%199 W · 166 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	22.75$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.99	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	22.1$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.86	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	78c	19.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.19	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	79c	15.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.19	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	77c	14.12$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…c63cbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	13.56$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.25	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC	76c	13.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.17	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event