TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$847,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,678 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under43c207,164$88,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88,694.9716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Over61c197,755$120,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,124.626857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over57c98,778$56,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,710.477753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under41c60,987$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b9…51f6backed Over61c48,645$29,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,971.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under39c30,974$12,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,079.8621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under39c29,640$11,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,562.0415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over61c19,700$12,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,682.985345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c14,312$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.0651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c13,046$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.351,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c11,750$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.112,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under40c10,702$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.321,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2212…267ebacked Under1c9,600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.9413852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under43c8,189$3,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,491.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under39c7,000$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over53c6,896$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,241.281,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over62c5,665$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.633234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under40c5,080$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under39c4,706$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.3842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over55c4,545$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.451662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c3,837$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.336,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over62c3,699$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.611969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under41c3,517$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.645257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.983641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under38c3,226$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.8117557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over62c2,582$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under39c2,560$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c2,511$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.0150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under39c2,267$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.4835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c2,145$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under39c2,070$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under42c1,955$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.8758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c1,771$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71930143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under41c1,770$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under44c1,752$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5052…9071backed Over78c1,664$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3662100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.99154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c1,498$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.054,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under40c1,447$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.221056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over59c1,350$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.9952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a6…dbaebacked Under39c1,172$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under39c1,127$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8839052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over62c1,054$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.655100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+108.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under38c1,020$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Under19c1,000$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2134428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c981.71$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.781,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c892.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.191,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…caeebacked Under46c886.28$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under40c880.71$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.032,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.196350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under41c836.07$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6123250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over59c778.4$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c750$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22530645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30823258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12542240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under2c595.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over77c554.55$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under42c535.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1111449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over74c480.39$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5927955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.198953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c456.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under5c449.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over61c448.82$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.045052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over62c429.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under39c420.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16426344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under42c404.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2328654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over67c387.29$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7649753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Under39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under34c380.17$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6717327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under41c376$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.344131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under43c375.29$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3722834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over58c370.69$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.692846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under37c366.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under39c360$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Under8c341.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa455…3ef0backed Under30c329.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under41c320.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.242045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c305.46$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under41c300$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under38c299.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9711443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d2…bac3backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.