Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4808254eaa708c2f4f78b2c6f34ddc8cfa9d88247d8e0e016954fc997da45d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,134 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 67c | 6,282$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.06 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 6,143$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.19 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 64c | 4,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.19 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 3,607$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.16 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 33c | 1,683$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.39 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 993.13$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.73 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 75c | 825$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 69c | 728.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 632.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.21 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 619.95$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 34c | 588.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 520.95$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 33c | 454.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Over | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 440$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 30c | 313.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 33c | 207$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 174$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 12c | 162.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 31c | 126.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 66c | 94.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 407 | 42%171 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 69c | 72.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 32c | 60.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 34c | 58.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 53.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c66backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…0544backed Over | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 22c | 48.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 38c | 46.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 33c | 42.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 37c | 33.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 32.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 32c | 32.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 68c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.