Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49fbb80c04d342a1cbbe6588b37feb2548deae0e4b2019eb8ff7b54524517bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,171 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 22,983$6,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,176.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 71c | 19,212$13,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.17 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 6,312$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.84 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 79c | 5,065$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Over | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 2c | 1,904$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 1,489$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.14 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 18c | 1,402$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,355$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.29 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 79c | 1,326$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 1,285$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 79c | 949.37$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 78c | 633.64$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 16c | 563.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 79c | 559.31$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Over | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 23c | 463.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 79c | 408.95$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Under | 5c | 374.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 21c | 306$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 63c | 286.87$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 29c | 263.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Over | 80c | 243.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…1836backed Over | 80c | 243.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e6…a350backed Under | 25c | 239.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…ef63backed Over | 75c | 239.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 21c | 168.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 22c | 157.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Over | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 80c | 121.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 19c | 96.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 23c | 86.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Under | 23c | 81.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Over | 79c | 65.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 80c | 60.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…3185backed Under | 23c | 59.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 22c | 59.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 59.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 28c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 78c | 41.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 73c | 32.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Over | 79c | 31.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…0ab2backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653f…4143backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…b218backed Over | 79c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 75c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…3cd9backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…649dbacked Over | 80c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…5764backed Over | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…e950backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b419backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…2526backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.