TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x565b…3cd9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+45%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$22.29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$16.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.36
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.14
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40%+$4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.14
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.6
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$6.69
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$25.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.1%+$17.02
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.7
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.