Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3abf6d69464bed719cf4f7abfd535a3e7ecdc7ffa6b4ca93fed509886ab57f4

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,857

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,379 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	21c	13,307$2,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,770.82	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	18c	11,854$2,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,137.6	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	77c	8,507$6,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.21	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under	38c	4,560$1,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.65	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	33c	3,084$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.33	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over	67c	2,820$1,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.62	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	68c	2,565$1,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.88	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over	68c	1,443$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.89	338	43.5%147 W · 191 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	14c	1,386$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.09	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under	21c	1,333$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.54	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	23c	1,277$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.07	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under	10c	1,076$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.59	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over	64c	757.57$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.73	238	57.6%137 W · 101 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under	34c	690.48$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.76	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under	32c	660.32$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.55	376	50.8%191 W · 185 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under	17c	479.82$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.57	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over	64c	441.17$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.82	306	42.8%131 W · 175 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	24c	373.04$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.89	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	15c	341.53$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.23	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over	80c	301.81$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.36	111	70.3%78 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	29c	301.25$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.08	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	336	53.3%179 W · 157 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	16c	223.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	237	32.1%76 W · 161 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	14c	219.06$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over	75c	181.36$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.34	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	15c	168.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	343	51.9%178 W · 165 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Under	9c	159.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over	65c	154.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.25	33	90.9%30 W · 3 L	+6.6wins	+0.20per pick	71cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Over	78c	153$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.66	132	31.8%42 W · 90 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Over	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…4c26backed Over	67c	149.24$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	38c	141.94$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.74	387	45%174 W · 213 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	15c	129.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.37	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	17c	117.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	17c	117$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	25c	110.94$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over	78c	102.56$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over	64c	101.56$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.56	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	134	53%71 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Under	16c	97.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	124	33.9%42 W · 82 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2960…3a0cbacked Over	66c	90.86$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.89	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	14c	90$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	19c	87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.41	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Over	69c	83.19$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.82	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under	17c	82.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Under	39c	76.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	18c	67.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	360	45.3%163 W · 197 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over	66c	66.18$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	273	63.4%173 W · 100 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…18dcbacked Over	77c	65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.9	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	72cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	77c	64.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.54	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	21c	52.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	21c	51.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ff…d744backed Over	80c	51.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	23c	50.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	24c	46.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over	62c	39.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce0e…ab62backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Over	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	86	58.1%50 W · 36 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over	78c	26.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	91	74.7%68 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…3cd9backed Over	78c	25.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.6	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+45%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	67c	23.82$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	69	73.9%51 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over	62c	19.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.33	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f9…6d50backed Over	76c	16.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.87	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5this page
Argentina vs. Iceland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Argentina vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event