Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656e1bb4a05bfeed986b742728d3c0bec541fa3f1ea3a7b3e521082caaf58361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,964$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Yes | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 2,313$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.42 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.96 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 72c | 1,654$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 38c | 1,376$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 1,217$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,008$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 63c | 956.29$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 43c | 896.63$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 880.78$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 59c | 877.68$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 63c | 780$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 769.55$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes | 40c | 731.51$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 36c | 622$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 612.56$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 43c | 467$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 440$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 61c | 429.9$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 393.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed No | 62c | 361.68$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d5…728fbacked No | 60c | 314.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked No | 63c | 302.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 58c | 299.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 38c | 299.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 39c | 255.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 61c | 253.59$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 67c | 148.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 133$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 62c | 126$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked No | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed No | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 38c | 105.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 40c | 102.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 38c | 100.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 56c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…921bbacked Yes | 51c | 92.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 41c | 84.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked No | 59c | 82.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 61c | 75.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 36c | 66.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…a9bbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed No | 58c | 49.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…95f5backed Yes | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 41c | 36.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 60c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 60c | 29.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 63c | 26.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed No | 59c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…d78bbacked No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 60c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…00d3backed No | 70c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Argentina vs. Iceland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: Iceland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.