Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3b3edd1740e78c266e1d4be09887444cb0db37c54805ff63501052ea843fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 7,708$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 39c | 4,369$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,254$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 73c | 812.33$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 573.08$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 28c | 545.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.58 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 47c | 531.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 52c | 496.69$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 47c | 342.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 309.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 72c | 309$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 41c | 302.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 72c | 247.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 28c | 238.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 64c | 214.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 161.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 56c | 154.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 149.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 32c | 106.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 94.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Under | 29c | 81.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 27c | 77.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 27c | 77.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 29c | 75.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 73.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 71.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 66.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 49c | 58.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 61c | 55.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 55.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 71c | 48.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 48.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 28c | 47.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Over | 43c | 46.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 42.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 45c | 41.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 47c | 39.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Over | 45c | 36.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 71c | 35.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…2302backed Over | 59c | 31.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 68c | 26.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 21.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22b…c377backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…3cd9backed Under | 53c | 19.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…d477backed Under | 70c | 17.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5this page
- Canada vs. Iceland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Iceland won
- Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.