TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…d35fbacked Under26c5,984$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under16c2,934$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under50c1,203$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over75c1,042$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over74c829.41$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over74c827.25$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over75c662.93$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7321953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809e…12d3backed Over52c596.56$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c534.01$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0120067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under49c444.27$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8214323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c374.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.018734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c337.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1212254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c250.05$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.341,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a5…3f4fbacked Under50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…eb10backed Over50c218.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…ad0abacked Under50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b3…ef46backed Under50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55b…d853backed Over50c217.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…b8e8backed Over50c217.11$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…b677backed Under50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1318…fd1abacked Over50c214.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…d22dbacked Over50c214.42$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809b…11e1backed Over50c213.74$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa302…8db8backed Over50c213.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ab…a83abacked Over50c213.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7898…15eebacked Under50c213$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11e…c953backed Under50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9324…f7e3backed Under50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5d…8ac0backed Under50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6a…5f68backed Under50c211$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…44b7backed Over50c210.23$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…8601backed Under50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…be75backed Over50c209.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b198backed Over50c209.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee7…98b0backed Under50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edc…f593backed Over50c208.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13cb…ddc0backed Under50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cc…6216backed Over50c207.77$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd616…1b86backed Over50c207.22$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5315…0d51backed Under50c207$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7047…af53backed Under50c207$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e59…5eefbacked Under50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba3…1274backed Under50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e2…614ebacked Under50c205$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db9…46afbacked Over50c204.78$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0e…d74dbacked Over50c203.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ce…7ef1backed Over50c203.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef9…97bcbacked Under50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723b…48febacked Under50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…33a5backed Under50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…ae4fbacked Under50c201$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4eb6backed Over50c200.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902b…0356backed Over50c200.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b2…8bd9backed Over50c200.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7624…4549backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c92…ba87backed Over50c199.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…c8b4backed Over50c199.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ce…c32fbacked Under50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fb…0cbcbacked Over50c198.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…c2adbacked Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x247f…a926backed Under51c195.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…e283backed Over50c194.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff00…6f66backed Over50c194.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc97…15adbacked Over50c194.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0675…a0b2backed Over50c193.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a07…a54fbacked Under50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7e…81a0backed Under50c193$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae6…a6a2backed Over50c192.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…8a78backed Under50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2a…b61abacked Under50c191$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284b…4638backed Over50c189.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9374…2d9ebacked Under50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x212c…edbcbacked Under50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d5…6222backed Over50c188.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548d…8071backed Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0786…162dbacked Under50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over53c187.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4a…709bbacked Under50c187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e94…ae0ebacked Over50c185.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b53…fe42backed Over50c185.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c98…8e51backed Under50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…614bbacked Under50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…8822backed Over50c184.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f2…f294backed Over50c183.69$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcda…3df7backed Over50c183.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b4f…688abacked Under50c183$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747d…e7e1backed Under50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfc…1b62backed Over50c181.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b7…4dcfbacked Over70c165$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over74c153.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.842552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01d0…e4f0backed Under49c149.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under30c139.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under40c132.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.067857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208164.2%52 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.