Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474b91dd506e2c80f72d6bd2dfd1181c1d410115d66e997c21fd7e33bdc60870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 52c | 784.12$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 355.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 269.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 41c | 267.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 249.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 241.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 143.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 49c | 140.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 78c | 128.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 127.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 41c | 115.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 68.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 64.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 58.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed No | 24c | 55.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 55c | 54.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 77c | 41.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 31c | 38.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Canada vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)Iceland won
- Spread: Iceland (-1.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.