Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa010c8e7ab644ca49a8c7d015bd80d6524e2d822fec6077e1f1019327507c65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,047,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,461,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,047,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 40c | 767,040$303,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,261.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…48a8backed Yes | 61c | 558,209$340,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,701.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 57c | 554,402$316,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238,392.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 43c | 314,303$135,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,352.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 58c | 300,381$173,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,378.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 59c | 235,526$138,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,804.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 40c | 158,962$64,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,148.74 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 121,884$51,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,257.14 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 120,535$83,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,070.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 41c | 105,784$43,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,371.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 41c | 104,856$42,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,906.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 84,876$49,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,280.69 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 60c | 74,209$44,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,816.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…0c4fbacked Yes | 51c | 64,392$32,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,554.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 61c | 61,468$37,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,972.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 44c | 60,079$26,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,234.59 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 41c | 59,949$24,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,579.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Yes | 50c | 56,410$28,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,050.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…6f49backed No | 41c | 55,000$22,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,299.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 36c | 54,060$19,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,358.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 43c | 51,411$21,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,907.37 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 50c | 36,395$18,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,055.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 35,227$25,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,190.13 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 48c | 35,113$16,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,223.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Yes | 59c | 33,898$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,898.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed No | 43c | 33,274$14,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,302.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 56c | 30,500$17,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,294.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 50c | 26,993$13,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,628.34 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 43c | 25,480$10,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,866.39 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked No | 42c | 25,200$10,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,698 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked No | 39c | 25,139$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed No | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 41c | 23,895$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 23,319$13,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.25 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 44c | 23,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 42c | 22,578$9,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,558.09 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 58c | 22,333$12,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,379.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 22,028$11,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,014.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Yes | 80c | 21,487$17,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,297.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 42c | 20,880$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 58c | 20,429$11,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 48c | 20,002$9,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 19,967$11,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,322.11 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 44c | 18,500$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked No | 42c | 18,200$7,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,644 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…aec3backed No | 43c | 18,100$7,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 41c | 18,093$7,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,417.96 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 57c | 17,091$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed No | 41c | 16,486$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed Yes | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 44c | 15,000$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,649.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 50c | 14,999$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 40c | 14,602$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 68c | 13,747$9,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked No | 43c | 13,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed No | 43c | 12,825$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 43c | 12,740$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 57c | 12,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 12,476$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.73 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 49c | 11,851$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 43c | 11,000$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.57 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 60c | 10,986$6,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.54 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 57c | 10,673$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 59c | 10,580$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 41c | 10,320$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Yes | 58c | 10,263$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 56c | 9,869$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 41c | 9,817$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 30c | 9,696$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 41c | 9,535$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 9,474$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.05 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Yes | 55c | 9,338$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Yes | 68c | 9,132$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…7524backed Yes | 59c | 8,990$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Yes | 59c | 8,880$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed No | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 39c | 7,713$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…1d11backed Yes | 47c | 7,506$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes | 47c | 7,314$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…21babacked No | 43c | 7,280$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 6,981$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.09 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 43c | 6,898$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.33 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebb…9305backed Yes | 71c | 6,866$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 57c | 6,740$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 50c | 6,687$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 6,442$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.11 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 42c | 6,400$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…48bfbacked No | 18c | 6,101$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 44c | 6,093$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 6,075$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.87 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.