TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,037,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,049,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…7910backed Over51c194,566$99,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,873.3814343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c178,981$100,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,773.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under61c72,070$43,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,107.2115456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under34c53,282$18,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,247.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c46,285$15,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,116.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under31c35,763$11,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,676.5922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under49c31,125$15,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,873.842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under65c19,387$12,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,823.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over52c18,287$9,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,502.1463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over48c17,862$8,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,544.8320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c11,588$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.242,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ec…10a0backed Under50c10,310$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,110.13652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over55c9,091$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over51c9,000$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5507538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over8c7,957$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under51c7,350$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.2525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under41c7,320$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.955541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over38c7,107$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.756842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over39c6,770$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.811,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over30c6,676$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.9924620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c6,222$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.677823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over45c6,211$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under40c5,444$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,242.129525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Under44c5,337$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.313151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over53c5,300$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.92842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50011561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7504431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…cfedbacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over70c4,704$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.531,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c4,576$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Under44c4,547$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.954531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over34c4,460$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over48c4,159$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over65c4,107$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.471,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over28c4,059$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.181,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over67c3,816$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under61c3,793$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.194472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over70c3,750$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6251,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under67c3,727$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1915040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over43c3,702$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c3,664$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.492,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over43c3,497$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.1210146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over59c3,394$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.110242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over59c3,376$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.17346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over39c3,360$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.54148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c3,356$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over60c3,351$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.17245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.3267447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under50c3,310$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.0415642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over32c3,018$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.7164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under53c2,966$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.8333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under52c2,842$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.629440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over55c2,753$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.6546939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c2,711$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5782,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…93eabacked Under75c2,702$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c2,561$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under30c2,483$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under54c2,394$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.2320547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under31c2,150$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over37c2,117$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0206637.9%25 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under42c1,898$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.6211149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over20c1,834$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.858530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over59c1,681$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over70c1,671$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under30c1,638$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.6910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under31c1,613$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.916637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under30c1,600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over70c1,571$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under45c1,474$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.752,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Under60c1,473$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.33565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over70c1,472$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under78c1,451$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.8443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under61c1,441$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.8626647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c56…bd8bbacked Over66c1,412$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+90.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over72c1,251$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.821,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Over55c1,200$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65412341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe291…748ebacked Under51c1,165$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over20c1,160$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.223427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over70c1,152$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under74c1,049$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8130642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Over69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9912040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505b…fbe0backed Over72c972.22$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004429.5%13 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…b6bebacked Under56c910.71$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.712060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under46c904.07$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.381,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.