Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b612beeffda28965f6adc43292acdc2eb726707a3b2fdb4d9f7cfdf4cf0644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof Korea Republic, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Korea Republic | 11c | 10,006$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.57 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Korea Republic | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Korea Republic | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Korea Republic | 14c | 6,583$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.62 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Korea Republic | 14c | 6,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Korea Republic | 2c | 5,658$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Korea Republic | 4c | 4,693$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Korea Republic | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Korea Republic | 14c | 2,785$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.93 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Korea Republic | 3c | 2,668$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Korea Republic | 15c | 2,441$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.46 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…ec52backed Korea Republic | 6c | 2,200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Korea Republic | 8c | 1,633$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Korea Republic | 15c | 1,558$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Korea Republic | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Korea Republic | 16c | 1,350$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e069backed Korea Republic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Korea Republic | 13c | 830.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Korea Republic | 15c | 799.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 763.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Korea Republic | 14c | 747.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Korea Republic | 2c | 730$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Korea Republic | 14c | 715$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Korea Republic | 13c | 552.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Korea Republic | 7c | 425.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Korea Republic | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b8…4ab2backed Korea Republic | 5c | 295$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Korea Republic | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Korea Republic | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…be20backed Korea Republic | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1212…2571backed Korea Republic | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Korea Republic | 14c | 202.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Korea Republic | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…3179backed Korea Republic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Korea Republic | 12c | 159.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…ce92backed Korea Republic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…96d0backed Korea Republic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Korea Republic | 13c | 141$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Korea Republic | 12c | 138.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Korea Republic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Korea Republic | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Korea Republic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Korea Republic | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Korea Republic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…0e00backed Korea Republic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Korea Republic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Korea Republic | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…dc57backed Korea Republic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb8…135cbacked Korea Republic | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 89.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…685cbacked Korea Republic | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Korea Republic | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…dd5ebacked Korea Republic | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)this page
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.