Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d25e3391deb5d461bcb3934cb379c04cbc2e15ceadf1bf997c9558d210d74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 2c | 3,184$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 23c | 3,023$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 8c | 2,973$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 2,879$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.66 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Over | 26c | 2,788$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 1,916$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.22 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 21c | 945.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 917.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 693$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 9c | 680.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 23c | 501.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 12c | 459.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked Over | 24c | 409.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 402.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 391.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 307.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 23c | 212.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 23c | 169.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 24c | 120.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…38bbbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 74c | 115.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 25c | 97.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…9ba1backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…5508backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…3729backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 22c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Over | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 21c | 58.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…57c0backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 237 | 61.2%145 W · 92 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5this page
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.