TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,676,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,650,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,676,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 690 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe549…2d54backed Over47c499,999$234,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234,669.3515552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Under57c400,000$228,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,999.935959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c228,225$140,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,924.634,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Over43c152,150$65,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,424.3814139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over43c138,761$59,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,667.2517840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under53c121,405$64,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,060.4322450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c59,196$10,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.31,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c55,209$29,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,948.2364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under59c46,747$27,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,320.8577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under53c41,620$22,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,561.413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under54c36,449$19,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,766.3342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over41c28,321$11,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6653842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f3…f18ebacked Under59c24,837$14,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,093.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c24,835$14,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,679.0528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Under57c23,540$13,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,122.1614843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c22,000$9,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,68059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…dbc4backed Under57c21,100$12,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under53c20,755$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,754.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over32c20,634$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,510.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under58c20,374$11,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,556.8922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c20,253$8,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,727.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6008046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed Over43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6002161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over47c17,234$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c14,318$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.11,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Over43c14,239$6,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.47237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Over43c14,140$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,080.199943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c12,208$5,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.441,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Over44c11,364$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Over43c11,267$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over43c11,239$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.6714727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c11,027$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.563,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under53c10,978$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.6610556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0108…0d26backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6002045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under57c9,496$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.822,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under54c7,593$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under59c7,541$4,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over42c7,143$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under57c7,103$4,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,054.2970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Under57c7,018$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.5432429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c6,848$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.1434924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over14c6,846$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.0539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under56c6,656$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.4729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over43c6,511$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.7321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over44c6,000$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.9729633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9616258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9422451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef2…3187backed Under53c5,358$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c4,773$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc60f…5b36backed Over43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over44c4,444$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.3632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0814445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under53c4,245$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.761,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c4,214$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.581,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under74c4,196$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.2565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…3eb7backed Over44c4,154$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.95147.1%24 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64018633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9729250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Over43c3,918$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Over43c3,850$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.56053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under53c3,710$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.121,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c3,536$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Under58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.288035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over14c3,377$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.722937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Under53c3,300$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55116540.6%67 W · 98 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ff…5dedbacked Over41c3,300$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3532842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Under62c3,129$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.933158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under53c3,087$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.7913857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9818738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.9623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c2,910$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over43c2,836$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.467448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c2,710$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.42,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over44c2,622$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.6452744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c2,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under58c2,544$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under57c2,500$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.1248441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0258337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c2,483$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over42c2,367$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under59c2,337$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.975166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over6c2,320$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.287622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c2,300$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0812,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under53c2,222$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.3214348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over9c2,205$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over1c2,060$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.