TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c1,615$674 inLost-$674.321,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under58c919.76$534 inWon+$385.656253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Under78c879$686 inWon+$193.382050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under58c386.61$224 inWon+$162.982365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over17c286$49 inLost-$48.6277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over18c283.8$50 inLost-$5025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over18c200$35 inLost-$351,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Under68c149.84$102 inWon+$47.956446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Under76c135.34$103 inWon+$32.486246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Under61c114.99$70 inWon+$44.8510849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Over24c109.97$26 inLost-$26.399947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c100$11 inLost-$114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c93.75$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under58c85.59$50 inWon+$35.7710947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Under58c85.2$50 inWon+$35.397853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf2…d6d8backed Under58c54.83$32 inWon+$23.031070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under78c36$28 inWon+$7.929563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over42c32.01$13 inLost-$13.3520851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.