TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c7,660$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bc…a3a7backed Under45c6,008$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked Under54c4,082$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.7321051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c3,503$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under52c2,541$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.071,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c2,120$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c2,062$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.8374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over35c2,021$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.7165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.4222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Over55c1,847$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.153363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over54c1,821$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.521,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under45c1,780$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80125857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under47c1,524$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.912556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over54c1,453$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.1667447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Over44c1,373$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.657157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c1,071$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over54c1,007$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.21,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over55c946.36$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8611443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974b…7c8fbacked Over55c855$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.752564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under14c767.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c751.64$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under45c704.57$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8610359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over54c669.52$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under45c663.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under46c600$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over55c563.64$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6418742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under47c510$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.711750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c410$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c405.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.81,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over53c404$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over56c396.43$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4311644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c341.59$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c320$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.82,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c309.76$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4917255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1594323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c284.31$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.552,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c255.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.372,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under52c254.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7145254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c249$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.031,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa15…cd67backed Over61c247.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over55c242.4$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c236.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.622,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Over55c233.85$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.237247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over56c232$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0824046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over55c154.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.331,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Under47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over55c148.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.211,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Under46c120.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.477248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c110.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141b…4c41backed Over55c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…2878backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over56c106.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4724246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over43c104.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2548328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under48c102$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.962944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4517757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c94.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9113636.8%50 W · 86 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Over45c86.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.742445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c86.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.313,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…dd8bbacked Under46c86.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406653%35 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over56c74.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8411745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over54c66.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.714257.7%82 W · 60 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over55c65.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5473234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a85…1917backed Under47c64.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014746.9%69 W · 78 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1acd…53f3backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over36c55.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Over54c55.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4116740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6a…54f9backed Under54c54.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.513461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4606…7f19backed Under31c53.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.444254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d2…9096backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531358.1%182 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.555942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0035…6e64backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.251,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Over55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8855…83adbacked Over45c48.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.543020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c46.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.043,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4522752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c03…0f8dbacked Over48c45.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43c…08a7backed Over45c43.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.972171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c43.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…c59dbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under44c42.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52f…0d98backed Under70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018056.1%101 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.