TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,105 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over15c4,433$683 inLost-$682.8565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c1,458$160 inLost-$160.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c1,206$56 inLost-$55.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c1,199$153 inLost-$153.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c1,031$788 inWon+$242.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c1,011$136 inLost-$135.561,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c877.06$116 inLost-$116.332,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over7c750$50 inLost-$5022623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over15c704.41$108 inLost-$107.612,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over24c460$110 inLost-$110.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under80c348.95$279 inWon+$69.792,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over20c290$58 inLost-$5834526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…9102backed Over18c253$45 inLost-$45.451747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Over20c250$50 inLost-$5011644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over19c206.02$40 inLost-$40.0246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost-$5019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over18c179.94$31 inLost-$31.4948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over17c160$27 inLost-$27.226631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Over22c159.09$35 inLost-$3516147.2%76 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under76c159$121 inWon+$38.1613351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over18c100$18 inLost-$1825655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over18c81.23$15 inLost-$14.622,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c2b…0535backed Over22c68.18$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$101,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Under80c38.94$31 inWon+$7.941877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a49…d276backed Under80c16.63$13 inWon+$3.334143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.