TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over68c1,500$1,015 inLost-$1,0151,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under32c1,281$413 inWon+$867.936253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa969…d109backed Under56c890.46$499 inWon+$391.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under56c852.86$478 inWon+$375.265046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over45c546.73$248 inLost-$248.42839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over27c418.69$113 inLost-$112.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over46c379.17$174 inLost-$174.422437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c369.93$200 inWon+$170.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c352.99$254 inWon+$98.842,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c342.17$148 inLost-$148.31,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c223$125 inWon+$98.122,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c222.45$128 inWon+$94.353,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Under57c208.85$119 inWon+$89.812343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over44c167.21$73 inLost-$72.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over44c167$73 inLost-$73.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under33c150.91$50 inWon+$100.9210947.7%52 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c149.36$43 inLost-$42.91,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under75c128.42$96 inWon+$32.1224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Under11c125$14 inWon+$111.256098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Under33c102.15$34 inWon+$68.637853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over43c100$43 inLost-$43.241,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over35c96.39$33 inLost-$33.382,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c88.92$39 inLost-$39.123,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under50c79.22$40 inWon+$39.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over44c75$33 inLost-$33.052,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c54.99$30 inWon+$24.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed Under66c43.39$29 inWon+$14.783751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under52c42.39$22 inWon+$20.479947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under67c40.59$27 inWon+$13.3945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…aa5cbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon+$16.361361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under66c35.61$23 inWon+$12.1120968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under57c34.64$20 inWon+$14.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over43c30$13 inLost-$12.8986656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.