Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: South Africa (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da738842874ee9f1567ca482f8669fbffcd023ca5bcc57965112310881547fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korea Republicof South Africa, Korea Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed South Africa | 6c | 29,482$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.42 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Africa | 3c | 11,493$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed South Africa | 13c | 8,076$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.22 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed South Africa | 6c | 4,702$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed South Africa | 5c | 4,150$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Africa | 5c | 3,297$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked South Africa | 5c | 2,189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 18.8%29 W · 125 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Africa | 3c | 1,802$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed South Africa | 4c | 1,505$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed South Africa | 6c | 1,236$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked South Africa | 4c | 1,084$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed South Africa | 5c | 962.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked South Africa | 29c | 863$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed South Africa | 4c | 750$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed South Africa | 5c | 729.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed South Africa | 15c | 714.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed South Africa | 4c | 610$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…47f2backed South Africa | 13c | 604.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 242 | 26.4%64 W · 178 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…daeebacked South Africa | 9c | 536.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed South Africa | 5c | 521$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked South Africa | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed South Africa | 4c | 494.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked South Africa | 10c | 338.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…29d5backed South Africa | 14c | 295$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked South Africa | 6c | 271$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed South Africa | 4c | 246$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked South Africa | 10c | 244.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed South Africa | 5c | 234.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed South Africa | 4c | 224.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed South Africa | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked South Africa | 5c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked South Africa | 12c | 204.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed South Africa | 8c | 202.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…0873backed South Africa | 13c | 158.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed South Africa | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…caecbacked South Africa | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked South Africa | 8c | 136.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Africa | 11c | 99.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked South Africa | 15c | 81.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)this page
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.