Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca35822b1c27ecd3de6e0fc31e2d1621ce3a1bbf8c975e14cec05578745c69a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 12,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 9,101$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.78 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 6,727$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Over | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 10c | 3,280$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 8c | 2,958$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.6 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 11c | 1,577$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 10c | 968.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 2c | 908.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 6c | 852.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 3c | 444.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 10c | 319$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Over | 11c | 299.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Over | 10c | 275.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 11%12 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 9c | 245.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 6c | 203.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…96ddbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Over | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 8c | 151.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 4.5this page
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Korea Republic (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Korea Republic won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Korea Republic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.